Scenario Parameters
Define the shock regime — the engine generates 100 price paths from the shock-adjusted start price around the base WTI of $82.40.
Shock type
Intensity
45%MildSevere
Duration
30 days7d90d
Price Trajectories
50 sampled paths · red line = ensemble median
Generating ensemble…
Confidence Fan
10–90% and 25–75% percentile bands around the median
…
$95.38/bbl · 100 paths · GBM + shock regime